• 论文
主办单位:煤炭科学研究总院有限公司、中国煤炭学会学术期刊工作委员会
基于极限学习机模型的风电功率预测方法
  • Title

    A wind power prediction method based on extreme learning machine model

  • 作者

    李国全李玲玲

  • Author

    LI Guoquan;LI Lingling

  • 单位

    开滦能源化工股份有限公司河北工业大学

  • Organization
    Kailuan Energy Chemical Co., Ltd
    Hebei University of Technology
  • 摘要

    风能具有较强的波动性和随机性,风电功率也具有同样的特点。因此,本文提出了改进极限学习模型来提高风能的利用率。首先,本文提出了通过乌鸦搜索算法来优化参数,通过收敛性能的测试,乌鸦搜索算法在全局搜索能力以及局部的开发能力上具有较大的优势。其次,确定模型函数的输入输出变量,然后分别用多个评估性指标与其他模型进行比较。最后,对改进极限学习机模型的预测结果进行了评估和分析。预测结果表明改进极限学习模型的预测精度和稳定性均高于其他模型。

  • Abstract

    Wind energy has strong volatility and randomness, and wind power also has the same characteristics. Therefore, this study proposes an improved limit learning model to improve the utilization of wind energy. Firstly, this paper proposes to optimize the parameters by crow search algorithm, and through the test of convergence performance, crow search algorithm has a greater advantage in global search ability as well as local exploitation ability. Secondly, the input and output variables of the model function are determined and then compared with other models using several evaluative metrics respectively. Finally, the prediction results of the improved extreme learning machine model are evaluated and analyzed. The prediction results show that the prediction accuracy and stability of the Improved Extreme Learning Model are higher than other models.

  • 关键词

    新能源风电功率预测极限学习机乌鸦搜索算法

  • KeyWords

    new energy;wind power prediction;extreme learning machine;crow search algorithm

  • DOI
  • 引用格式
    李国全,李玲玲.基于极限学习机模型的风电功率预测方法[J].华北科技学院学报,2024,21(3):75-82
  • Citation
    LI Guoquan,LI Lingling. A wind power prediction method based on extreme learning machine model[J]. Journal of North China Institute of Science and Technology,2024,21(3):75-82
相关问题

主办单位:煤炭科学研究总院有限公司 中国煤炭学会学术期刊工作委员会

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