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断层诱发地震的时空分布数值模拟:对地震灾害的影响

2024-12-05

原文链接:

https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s40789-022-00560-7或点击文末“阅读原文



摘 要

诱发地震与各种引发深部人工原位应力变化的工程项目密切相关。因此,需要对相关风险进行评估和规避。过去,已开发多种模拟方法并应用于诱发地震分析,但在地震事件的空间分布及其频率方面,模拟结果与现场观测之间仍存在显著差异。本研究旨在开发一种方法,以模拟断层空间分布性地震事件,同时再现断层带内复杂应力状态。为此,基于断层破坏带内的离散裂隙网络,并采用裂缝张量理论,构建了等效连续介质模型。断层核心在模型中心位置被模拟为一个不连续平面。利用该模型,通过在模型外边界施加牵引力,首先模拟了断层带内存在应力异常的非均匀应力状态。随后,逐步降低断层面上的有效法向应力以诱发滑移。通过对b值和其他地震震源参数的验证,模拟结果证明了该模型能够再现断层地震的时空分布。此外,对参数的进一步分析显示,在大地震事件发生之前,震级-频率分布存在变化。这种变化与现场观测结果一致,表明该模拟方法在评估各种工程项目的地震灾害风险方面具有潜在应用价值。



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Abstract Induced seismicity is strongly related to various engineering projects that cause anthropogenic in-situ stress change at a great depth. Hence, there is a need to estimate and mitigate the associated risks. In the past, various simulation methods have been developed and applied to induced seismicity analysis, but there is still a fundamental difference between simulation results and field observations in terms of the spatial distribution of seismic events and its frequency. The present study aims to develop a method to simulate spatially distributed on-fault seismicity whilst reproducing a complex stress state in the fault zone. Hence, an equivalent continuum model is constructed, based on a discrete fracture network within a fault damage zone, by employing the crack tensor theory. A fault core is simulated at the center of the model as a discontinuous plane. Using the model, a heterogeneous stress state with stress anomalies in the fault zone is first simulated by applying tractions on the model outer boundaries. Subsequently, the effective normal stress on the fault plane is decreased in a stepwise manner to induce slip. The simulation result is validated in terms of the b-value and other seismic source parameters, hence demonstrating that the model can reproduce spatially and temporally distributed on-fault seismicity. Further analysis on the parameters shows the variation of frequency-magnitude distribution before the occurrence of large seismic events. This variation is found to be consistent with field observations, thus suggesting the potential use of this simulation method in evaluating the risk for seismic hazards in various engineering projects.


文章部分图片

Fig. 1 Characteristics of fractures in a fault zone

Fig. 4 Numerical model showing zones with anisotropic or isotropic compliance tensor


Fig. 8 Shear displacement increment on the fault plane during each stage (not cumulative): a 10th stage b 15th stage c 20th stage d 25th stage



引用格式:

Sainoki, A., Schwartzkopff, A.K., Jiang, L. et al. Numerical modelling of spatially and temporally distributed on-fault induced seismicity: implication for seismic hazards. Int J Coal Sci Technol10, 4 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s40789-022-00560-7

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作 者 王振国1,田素超1,包迪文1,李 博2单 位 1. 徐矿集团天山矿业公司;2. 中国矿业大学。摘 要为了解决俄霍布拉克煤矿多进风井井底风流汇合点附近巷道风流方向不...

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