Economic and Technical Research Institute of SEPC of SGCC

【目的】随着双碳目标的不断推进,新能源迎来了井喷式发展,新能源消纳能力和消纳空间成为社会各界关注的问题。针对现有新能源消纳能力和消纳空间研究中,消纳措施比较单一且多注重理论研究,适用性不强这一弊端,提出了具体的方法和流程。【方法】采用时间序列生产模拟方法,基于全景电力系统运行模拟分析平台(NEOS),构建了大规模新能源并网的新能源消纳能力和消纳空间方法和流程,研究测算了山西省“十四五”和“十五五”新能源消纳能力,在此基础上采取消纳综合措施将其新能源利用率提升至95%以上,提高了新能源消纳能力。【结果】在新能源利用率95%的基础上,针对新增不同风光比例、不同投产时序、不同新能源利用率和不同年份分别测算了各种情景下新能源消纳空间,指导山西省新能源规划,助力双碳目标落地。

【Purposes】 With the continuous promotion of the dual carbon goal, new energy has ushered in explosive development, and the capacity and space for new energy consumption have become a concern for all sectors of society. In the research on existing new energy consumption capacity and space, the consumption measures are relatively single and focus more on theoretical research, which is not applicable, propose specific methods and processes. 【Methods】 In this ar-ticle the time series production simulation method was adopted to build a new energy consump-tion capacity and consumption space method and process for large-scale new energy grid connec-tion on the Panoramic Power System Operation Simulation Analysis Platform. 【Findings】 The new energy consumption capacity of Shanxi Province during the 14th and 15th Five Year Plans was estimated. On the basis. Based on this, comprehensive consumption measures were taken to increase its new energy utilization rate to over 95%, improving the new energy consumption ca-pacity. On the basis of a new energy utilization rate of 95%, the new energy consumption space under various scenarios was calculated for different proportion of newly added wind and solar power, different production timing, different new energy utilization rates, and different years, guiding the new energy planning of Shanxi Province and assisting in the implementation of the dual carbon target.

刘红丽,张立伟,李佳,等.大规模新能源并网的新能源消纳能力和消纳空间方法研究及应用[J].太原理工大学学报,2024,55(1):120-126.

LIU Hongli,ZHANG Liwei,LI Jia,et al.Research and application of new energy absorption capacity and ab-sorption space method of Shanxi power grid based on large-scale new energy grid[J].Journal of Taiyuan Univer-sity of Technology,2024,55(1):120-126.