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Title
System dynamics simulation of construction workers’safety competency improvement strategy
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作者
魏涛成连华鲍枫陶敬兵赵旭东白宝丁
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Author
WEI Tao;CHENG Lianhua;BAO Feng;TAO Jingbing;ZHAO Xudong;BAI Baoding
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单位
中建安装集团有限公司华西公司西安科技大学安全科学与工程学院中国二十冶集团有限公司
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Organization
Huaxi Co. China Construction Industrial & Energy Engineering Group Co., Ltd.
College of Safety Science and Engineering, Xi’an University of Science and Technology
China MCC20 Group Co., Ltd.
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摘要
为有效提升建筑工人安全能力,减少建筑施工生产安全事故,基于信息认知理论构建建筑工人安全能力系统模型,并从安全文化、安全投入、安全约束等维度分析调控因子并提出安全能力提升策略,以量化形式动态分析提升策略对安全能力的效用。基于建筑工人安全能力的系统动力学模型,将安全投入策略作为单因子改变量,得到不同维度提升策略下各子系统核心变量作为时间函数的动态特征。结果表明:在整个仿真周期内,安全文化策略、安全投入策略和安全约束策略调控因子各增加20%,安全能力水平增幅分别为7.79%、9.46%与5.87%;发现投入与安全能力收益具有时滞效应和“规模报酬递减”特性;风险感知与决策能力的提升周期较长,且受安全文化策略的影响较大,而安全执行能力在仿真周期内波动性较大,且提升幅度主要受安全投入策略的影响。研究结果可进一步为提升策略优化和安全能力预测提供依据。
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Abstract
To effectively enhance the safety competencies of construction workers and reduce safety accidents in construction production, a construction worker safety competency system model was constructed based on information cognition theory. Regulatory factors were analyzed and safety competency improvement strategies were proposed from the dimensions of safety culture, safety investment, and safetyconstraints. The utility of the safety competency improvement strategies was dynamically analyzed inquantitative form. Based on the system dynamics model of construction workers’ safety ability, usingsafety investment strategy as a single factor to analyze, the dynamic characteristics of the core variablesof each subsystem as time functions under different dimension promotion strategies were obtained. Theresults show that throughout the entire simulation cycle, the regulatory factors of safety culture strategy,safety investment strategy, and safety constraint strategy increase by 20% respectively, and the level ofsafety capability increase by 7. 79% , 9. 46% , and 5. 87% , respectively. It is found that the investmentand safety competency benefits have the characteristics of time lag effects and “ diminishing returns toscale” . In addition, the improvement cycle for risk perception and decision-making competency is longer and is greatly affected by safety culture strategy, while safety execution competency fluctuates greatly within the simulation period and is mainly influenced by safety investment strategy. The research results can further provide a basis for optimizing improvement strategies and predicting safety competencies.
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关键词
安全能力建筑工人提升策略系统动力学仿真
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KeyWords
safety competency; construction workers; improvement strategies; system dynamics; simulation
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基金项目(Foundation)
陕西省教育厅重点项目(22JY042)
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DOI
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引用格式
魏涛,成连华,鲍枫,等.建筑工人安全能力提升策略系统动力学仿真[J].西安科技大学学报,2023,43(6):1054-1062.
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Citation
WEI Tao,CHENG Lianhua,BAO Feng,et al.System dynamics simulation of construction workers’ safety competency improvement strategy[J].Journal of Xi’an University of Science and Technology,2023,43(6):1054-1062.
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