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主办单位:煤炭科学研究总院有限公司、中国煤炭学会学术期刊工作委员会
Coal burst spatio-temporal prediction method based on bidirectional long short-term memory network
  • 作者

    Xu YangYapeng LiuAnye CaoYaoqi LiuChangbin WangWeiwei ZhaoQiang Niu

  • 单位

    School of Computer Science and Technology, China University of Mining and TechnologyEngineering Research Center of Mine Digitization of Ministry of Education, China University of Mining and TechnologySchool of Mines, China University of Mining and TechnologyState Key Laboratory of Coal Resources and Safe Mining, China University of Mining and Technology

  • 摘要

    The increasingly severe state of coal burst disaster has emerged as a critical factor constraining coal mine safety production, and it has become a challenging task to enhance the accuracy of coal burst disaster prediction. To address the issue of insufficient exploration of the spatio-temporal characteristic of microseismic data and the challenging selection of the optimal time window size in spatio-temporal prediction, this paper integrates deep learning methods and theory to propose a novel coal burst spatio-temporal prediction method based on Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (Bi-LSTM) network. The method involves three main modules, including microseismic spatio-temporal characteristic indicators construction, temporal prediction model, and spatial prediction model. To validate the effectiveness of the proposed method, engineering application tests are conducted at a high-risk working face in the Ordos mining area of Inner Mongolia, focusing on 13 high-energy microseismic events with energy levels greater than 105 J. In terms of temporal prediction, the analysis indicates that the temporal prediction results consist of 10 strong predictions and 3 medium predictions, and there is no false alarm detected throughout the entire testing period. Moreover, compared to the traditional threshold-based coal burst temporal prediction method, the accuracy of the proposed method is increased by 38.5%. In terms of spatial prediction, the distribution of spatial prediction results for high-energy events comprises 6 strong hazard predictions, 3 medium hazard predictions, and 4 weak hazard predictions.

  • 关键词

    Coal burstSpatio-temporal predictionMicroseismic spatio-temporal characteristic indicatorsBidirectional long short-term memory network

  • 基金项目(Foundation)
    Key Technologies Research and Development Program, 2022YFC3004603, Anye Cao, Jiangsu Province International Collaboration Program-Key National Industrial Technology Research and Development Cooperation Projects, BZ2023050, Anye Cao, Natural Science Foundation of Jiangsu Province, BK20221109, Xu Yang, National Natural Science Foundation of China, 52274098, Anye Cao.
  • DOI
  • 引用格式
    Yang, X., Liu, Y., Cao, A. et al. Coal burst spatio-temporal prediction method based on bidirectional long short-term memory network.Int J Coal Sci Technol 12, 11 (2025).
  • 图表
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    • The structure of the coal burst spatio-temporal prediction method based on Bi-LSTM

    图(14) / 表(14)

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主办单位:煤炭科学研究总院有限公司 中国煤炭学会学术期刊工作委员会

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